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Are you scared to make a financial move right now? Are you getting seasick watching the market move? What’s The Oracle of Omaha investing in now?

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Mar
01

Words From Warren…

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To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:

Our gain in net worth during 2009 was $21.8 billion, which increased the per-share book value of both our Class A and Class B stock by 19.8%. Over the last 45 years (that is, since present management took over)book value has grown from $19 to $84,487, a rate of 20.3% compounded annually.*

Berkshire’s recent acquisition of Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNSF) has added at least 65,000shareholders to the 500,000 or so already on our books. It’s important to Charlie Munger, my long-time partner,and me that all of our owners understand Berkshire’s operations, goals, limitations and culture. In each annual report, consequently, we restate the economic principles that guide us. This year these principles appear on pages89-94 and I urge all of you – but particularly our new shareholders – to read them. Berkshire has adhered to these principles for decades and will continue to do so long after I’m gone.In this letter we will also review some of the basics of our business, hoping to provide both a freshman orientation session for our BNSF newcomers and a refresher course for Berkshire veterans.

To download and read the entire annual report please click the link below:

Berkshire Hathaway Annual Report & letter from Mr. Buffett

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Jan
15

Should You Invest in Warren Buffett?

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This article was originally published on the CBS Money Watch site and was written by Conrad de Aenlle.

283506 140 180 Should You Invest in Warren Buffett?

Warren Buffett

Wouldn’t you be thrilled if your portfolio achieved the same returns as Warren Buffett’s? It may seem impossible, but it’s really a snap: Just own shares in his corporate alter ego, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B).

The price of entry for investors is coming down: On Wednesday, shareholders are expected to approve a 50-1 split of the company’s B-shares, which will take the share price down from around $3,260 to $65.

If history is an accurate guide — and there’s no guarantee it is — it’s a smart way to invest. A $1,000 stake in Berkshire at the start of 1990 would have grown to roughly $12,000 by the end of last year, crushing the broader market. Had you invested the same amount in Vanguard’s Standard & Poor’s 500 index fund(VFINX) and reinvested dividends, your stake would be worth about $4,750.

A handful of hedge fund geniuses may have produced results similar to Berkshire’s while operating from mountain aeries and using complex, opaque investment strategies. Buffett did it primarily by holding blue-chip American stocks in a publicly listed company. It doesn’t work flawlessly; Berkshire has lagged the market over the past year, returning less than 10 percent while the S&P is up more than 30 percent. But if you’re worried about such short-term horizons, don’t invest with Warren Buffett.

Buy Shares … in Moderation

Fund managers and financial advisers say you could do a lot worse than to own Berkshire. They suggest doing it in moderation, though, because as time goes on, Berkshire’s returns are likely to, well, moderate.

“If you listen to Buffett himself, he’s pretty confident in the long-term future of the company, but he has told people not to expect returns to be as good as in the past,” said Richard Graziadei, lead equity manager for TIAA-CREF Trust Co. “No one should go in thinking it’s going to replicate its past record.”

That record has been accomplished through Buffett’s display of many traits widely recognized as the right stuff of investing. He buys into established businesses with consistent earnings, not fledgling enterprises, and he insists on paying what he deems a bargain price. That often means going against conventional thinking and buying companies relegated to Wall Street’s doghouse. After he has made a purchase — this is another sign that he is uninterested in public opinion — he has the patience to wait until it pays off or until he determines that it probably never will.

It sounds simple enough. What sets Buffett apart from his peers is not his investment strategy, his admirers say, but his ability to implement it.

“You don’t have to have the I.Q. of an M.I.T. Ph.D. in math, but you do have to have common sense” to invest wisely, said George Schwartz, chief investment officer of the Ave Maria Mutual Funds. “The problem is a lot of people don’t apply common sense, they don’t look at investment opportunities with the cold logic that he does.”

Berkshire’s chief executive “is a master of contrarian thinking,” said Schwartz, who has kept a portion of his personal money in Berkshire since 1981. “That’s how to make money. You’ve got to buy when no one else is buying. He practices that.”

In Buffett’s Portfolio

He practices another key element of solid portfolio construction: diversification. The list of Berkshire Hathaway’s holdings reads like a What’s What of corporate America, including American Express (AXP), Coca-Cola (KO), Procter & Gamble (PG), Kraft (KFT), Wells Fargo (WFC), General Electric (GE), Goldman Sachs (GS), Dow Chemical (DOW), and Conoco Phillips (COP).

Berkshire reported $57.4 billion of stock investments and $37.4 billion in government and corporate bonds at the end of September. The remaining $36 billion or so of the company’s worth was accounted for by entities in which it holds more than a 20 percent stake, making them more like operating divisions. These include Geico and other insurance subsidiaries and Burlington Northern Santa Fe, the railroad that Berkshire took complete ownership of in November.

Buffett has always held a potent mix of businesses. Anyone who made a modest outlay, say $10,000, to buy Berkshire in the early 1980s, when Schwartz did, would be a millionaire now, barely a quarter-century later. There’s your retirement all squared away.

But as it says in the fine print of any investment, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investment advisers caution that Berkshire’s returns are likely to dissipate, mainly because the company and Buffett have become victims of their own success. Berkshire’s market value of more than $150 billion and annual sales exceeding $100 billion suggest that it has run afoul of the law of large numbers. At that size, it takes ever bigger acquisitions to have a significant impact on earnings, so earnings growth is bound to slow.

“It’s not as easy for them to move the needle as when [Berkshire Hathaway] was a $15 billion or $20 billion company,” said Brian Washkowiak, director of research for Talon Asset Management, a Chicago financial planning firm. “We consider ourselves Warren Buffett disciples,” he added, “but I would advise against putting all your eggs into Berkshire Hathaway.”

Tom Forester, manager of the Forester Value Fund, noted that Buffett’s following with the public has sent Berkshire’s stock to a sizeable valuation premium over the broad market. It traded recently at 31 times its profits for the latest four quarters, compared with just over 20 for the S&P 500.

“I’m more a fan of [Buffett’s] investment acumen than I am of Berkshire,” Forester said. “I’m a value guy, too, so I don’t like paying premiums for things.” By other measures, however, Berkshire shares look cheaper: Barron’s estimates that shares are trading at 1.2 times book value.

The Age Factor

The other caveat issued to prospective Berkshire shareholders is actuarial, not financial. Buffett is 79, and his inevitable departure one day gives the laudatory remarks about him a more ominous ring. When Schwartz calls Berkshire “a unique company run by a unique individual,” it raises questions about how it will fare when someone who is not one of a kind takes over.

Whatever misgivings they may have about Berkshire, these investors consider it an excellent holding, as long as there are plenty of other assets to go with it. “What I would tell most clients is that they need other pieces of broad exposure,” Graziadei, of TIAA-CREF, advised. With Berkshire’s heavy concentration in large American companies, he would focus on complementary asset classes, such as bonds of different types; international stocks, including emerging markets for risk-tolerant investors; and possibly real estate. Washkowiak made similar suggestions, and he would also allocate capital to small and medium-sized companies.

When assessing Berkshire’s place in a portfolio and the right price to pay for the stock, investors would do well to give it the same scrutiny as Buffett does with his prospective investments, Graziadei said.

“You must be committed to truly understanding this company inside and out,” he said, “and developing the expertise to make a judgment call and buy when you think it’s undervalued.”

About the Author

Conrad de Aenlle has been an investment and personal finance writer for nearly 20 years, covering international markets, portfolio management, and financial planning, among other topics. His features and columns have appeared in newspapers and magazines worldwide, including The New York Times, International Herald Tribune, Washington Post, Los Angeles Times, Sunday Business, The Scotsman, Institutional Investor, Funds Europe, and International Fund Investment. After working in London and Paris for 14 years, de Aenlle is based in Long Beach, Calif.

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Originally posted at the Investing School blog

We like to highlight the people that do exceptionally well in every industry. In sports, there are all-stars and in Hollywood, there are super stars. We follow these people and try to know everything about them because if we can’t be like them, we can at least know about them.

The investment industry is the same, where there are many people we termed Legendary Investors. Here are a few of them:

1. Warren Buffett

warren buffett 5 Legendary Investors Whom You Are Sure to be Interested In

The Oracle of Omaha

Warren must be the most famous of them all because he is currently still running his own company and buying and selling investments. It also doesn’t hurt that he is the world’s richest man!

Recommended Books About Warren Buffett: The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life 5 Legendary Investors Whom You Are Sure to be Interested In.

2. Jim Rogers

jim rogers 5 Legendary Investors Whom You Are Sure to be Interested In

Jim Rogers--The Legend

Jim Rogers is a hedge fund manager who co-founded The Quantum Fund in the 1970s and subsequently made 42 times the investment in the next decade. His fame however didn’t rise until after he retired in 1980 as he made bold calls such as predicting China’s huge growth, the rise in commodity price as well as the credit crisis months before the gigantic collapse of the market in October of 2008.

Recommended Books By Jim Rogers: A Gift to My Children: A Father’s Lessons for Life and Investing 5 Legendary Investors Whom You Are Sure to be Interested In, Investment Biker: Around the World with Jim Rogers 5 Legendary Investors Whom You Are Sure to be Interested In, and Adventure Capitalist: The Ultimate Road Trip 5 Legendary Investors Whom You Are Sure to be Interested In.

3. Peter Lynch

peter lynch 5 Legendary Investors Whom You Are Sure to be Interested In

Beat the street by investing in what you know

Hired initially as an intern at Fidelity Investments, Peter Lynch eventually turned the Magellan Fund from $18 million under management to more than $14 billion. His most famous investment philosophy is “Invest in what you know” which is very easy to understand for the retail investor.

Recommended Books by Peter Lynch: One Up On Wall Street : How To Use What You Already Know To Make Money In The Market 5 Legendary Investors Whom You Are Sure to be Interested In and Beating the Street 5 Legendary Investors Whom You Are Sure to be Interested In.

4. Bill Miller

bill miller 5 Legendary Investors Whom You Are Sure to be Interested In

The jury's still out on Bill Miller's 'legend' status

Before 2007, Bill Miller was undoubtedly regarded as an legendary investor with his Legg Mason Value Trust outperforming the S&P 500 every year from 1991 to 2005. However, his many bad bets on the financial industries in 2008 has trashed his reputation as well as all the value he’s ever created for the fund’s shareholders through the years. While he is still managing the Legg Mason Value Trust Fund, many are asking for his resignation.

Books About Bill Miller: The Man Who Beats the S&P: Investing with Bill Miller 5 Legendary Investors Whom You Are Sure to be Interested In (Author’s Note: buy this if you still dare)

5. Benjamin Graham

benjamin graham 5 Legendary Investors Whom You Are Sure to be Interested In

If Warren Buffett was Luke Skywalker, Graham would be Yoda!

Perhaps more an educator than an investor, Benjamin Graham is considered one of the first to teach about value investing. His students included the likes of Warren Buffett and was very influential in providing his students with a sound investment framework. In fact, Warren Buffett described Graham as the second most influential person after Buffett’s own father.

Recommended Books by Benjamin Graham: Security Analysis: Sixth Edition, Foreword by Warren Buffett (Security Analysis Prior Editions) 5 Legendary Investors Whom You Are Sure to be Interested In and The Intelligent Investor: The Classic Text on Value Investing 5 Legendary Investors Whom You Are Sure to be Interested In.

Whether you agree with their investment philosophy or not, you can’t deny the success (through skill or luck) they’ve had in the past. However, as Bill Miller’s case pointed out, if it’s hard enough to pick consistent winning investments, it might be harder to pick a fund manager who will consistently out perform the board market!





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Jan
12

The Art of Not Losing Money

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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Never forget rule No.1

Warren Buffett

safety in aviation The Art of Not Losing Money

Follow these directions on your road to safety

Let’s take a moment and step away from technical analysis, stock tips, and high finance.  Let’s talk about something that’s not quite as ‘sexy’ but is infinitely more important in your day-to-day dealings as an investor.  Cash management and safety.

According to full-time trader and author Karl Denninger, “Return of capital is more important than return on capital.  Put another way, the first rule of investing is “don’t lose money!”  Everyone wants to chase a winner; this, unfortunately, is why most investors lose compared to the markets over time.”

The first thing an investor must master is The Art of Not Losing Money.

Most investors only focus on the possible gains to be made. Learning not to lose money sounds boring and we all want to make the big bucks when investing, but the fundamental skill that you must have as an investor is the ability to protect your capital and the patience to wait for the right opportunity in which to invest that capital.  Any full-time trader (or professional gambler for that matter) will tell you that it’s fine to have the know-how, but if you don’t have a bankroll—you’re out of the game!

Most investment books and magazines will have plenty of articles about investment strategies, investment gurus, and investment advice.  Few will tell you the naked truth—without something to invest, you will never be able to take advantage of the opportunities that come your way.

Karl Denninger feels that it’s “… fine to speculate with money you can afford to lose, but your core capital should never be exposed to a market that is trading on bubble economics unless you’re close to the door and can leave fast – and for most investors that’s not possible with their “long-term” funds.  The key to long-term outperformance (the real goal in any such portfolio) is to STAY OUT during times like this, and take advantage of long-term (and deferred) tax advantages during periods when the markets are trading on fundamental value.”

Think about this for a minute:  If you lose 50% in the market, you need to get a gain of 100% just to get back to even.  How often will the market go up 100%?  It will likely take many years.  But, if you lose 20% in the market, it only takes a 25% gain to get back to even.  20% is still a lot, but a 25% rebound in the market is certainly a reasonable expectation and can be achieved in one year’s time.

warrenbuffett The Art of Not Losing Money

Managing your cash really boils down to discipline.  Just remember that as an investor, your bankroll is your lifeblood. Without it you can’t invest – it doesn’t get any simpler than that. Despite this simple truth, many people don’t see mastering The Art of Not Losing Money as a skill of the same importance as being able to calculate ROI or analyze emerging markets. All the investment strategies and hot tips in the world don’t mean anything, though, if you don’t have money to invest.

About the Author

Anthony Sills, M.B.A. formerly traded FOREX from the Atlanta Financial Center and has worked for stock advisory services, brokerages, Fortune 100 companies, and national banks.  Mr. Sills is currently a licensed loan officer and freelance writer.  You can reach him at anthony@professionalpenwriters.com.

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By The Motley Fool’s Toby Shute
January 11, 2010

www.fool.com

Because leverage of 20:1 magnifies the effects of managerial strengths and weaknesses, we have no interest in purchasing shares of a poorly-managed bank at a “cheap” price. Instead, our only interest is in buying into well-managed banks at fair prices. — Warren Buffett, 1990 Chairman’s Letter to Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-A) (NYSE: BRK-B)

warren buffet persuasive Whats It Take to Find a Well Managed Bank?

“It’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price.”

While I don’t spend a lot of time looking at bank stocks, every once in a while I run a screen to try and find a well-managed bank selling at a fair price.

Last year, on the premise that banking is a commodity business in which the low-cost provider has a competitive advantage, I searched for banks that sported both lower borrowing costs and higher net interest margins than Buffett favorite Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC). That led me to a few interesting names, including Westamerica Bancorp (Nasdaq: WABC) and SVB Financial Group.

Today I’ve done something different, taking the above quote a bit more literally.

As a proxy for management quality, I’ve decided to screen for both a solid average return on assets (1.25% or better) and respectable growth in tangible book value (at least 8% compounded) over the past seven years. To try and weed out reckless lenders, I’ve limited my search to banks whose nonperforming loans represent fewer than 5% of total loans. As for a fair price, I’m looking for banks trading at less than twice tangible book value.

How many U.S. bank stocks do you suppose meet these basic criteria? 100? 50? Try 17. Here are the eight largest:

Company Market Capitalization 10-Year Avg. Total Return Through 12/31/09 Motley Fool CAPS Rating (out of 5)
Capital One $19,090 million 0.0% *
International Bancshares(Nasdaq: IBOC) $1,360 million 9.5% *
CVB Financial $1,011 million 8.5% **
PacWest Bancorp(Nasdaq: PACW) $784 million n/a *
BancFirst Corporation $562 million 10.2% *
Bank of the Ozarks(Nasdaq: OZRK) $505 million 21.3% *
Nara Bancorp $436 million 18.8% *
SY Bancorp $297 million 10.1% *

Total return data courtesy of Morningstar.

That CAPS star rating is out of a possible five, by the way. Clearly our community doesn’t think much of these stocks! But note the firms’ 10-year returns, which look quite good compared to a ghastly performance by the overall industry (or the broader stock market, for that matter). Surely at least one of these banks is going to continue delivering for shareholders, no?

A sad day for value hounds
At around 6.5 times pre-tax earnings and 10.7 times after-tax earnings, International Bancshares is arguably the cheapest of the lot. That’s fairly depressing, given that Buffett accumulated 10% of Wells Fargo in 1990, another period of serious disarray in the financial sector, at less than half this valuation. Fortunately, IBC has a guy in a bee costume on its website, which cheers me up somewhat.

As far as fundamentals go, IBC doesn’t particularly stand out from the group, aside from having the strongest Tier 1 capital ratio (17.2%). Interestingly, that didn’t stop the firm from participating in the Treasury’s TARP program. For political reasons, the country’s large banks really had no choice but to take the money (and are now racing to return it), but there were plenty of strong, smaller banks that were willing to take a pass on TARP and all its attending restrictions. IBC reported last quarter that its “strong earnings substantially neutralized the cost of the TARP funding,” but it seems that earning power was still diverted unnecessarily.

California beauty, only than skin deep?
Another TARP recipient, CVB Financial, impresses me with its $300,000 in revenue per employee. I love a company that can do more with less. This metric suggests a higher degree of automation than is employed at firms like PacWest and BancFirst.

CVB explicitly targets a return on assets of 1.35%, a return on equity of 20%, and earnings growth of 15% a year. These are admirable targets, but the company hasn’t seen results this strong since the 2004-2005 period of blissful banking.

My biggest issue with CVB, based in California’s Inland Empire, is the firm’s location, and consequent exposure to real estate loans in one of the bubbliest parts of the country. That consideration, combined with the fact that the bank put its name (Citizens Business Bank) on a local sports arena — a folksy, yet potent, contrarian signal ranking up there with magazine covers — is probably enough to keep me away.

A final Foolish thought
It’s possible that I’ve gone about this search all wrong. By favoring growth in book value during a period in which a lot of dumb lending occurred, I’m penalizing firms that had the good sense to sit this activity out. Good sense is tough to screen for. If you have thoughts on other ways to identify well-managed banks, I’d love to hear them.

© 1995-2008 The Motley Fool. All rights reserved.

This article was originally published on The Motley Fool’s website and you can read the original article by clicking here:

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2010/01/11/whats-it-take-to-find-a-well-managed-bank.aspx

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Often times when people here the word “invest” they become
frightened. It is probably one of the most misunderstood
words on the planet. As a result, many employees as well
as other individuals refuse to invest their money in anything
other than a passbook savings or money market account. That
includes those who have retirement accounts available through
their employer.

So, what is stopping you from starting to invest? The following are three of the most common reasons are I found after taking a poll:

1. I don’t have enough money to invest.

2. I have to pay off my bills first.

3. I have money to invest, but I am afraid.

What can you do to alleviate your fear of investing? There
are many inexpensive ways to start investing. You can open
an investment account with a broker that sells shares or
partial shares of stocks, this type of broker is usually
found online. You can open a mutual fund account with a
mutual fund company, that will allow you to start with a
small amount of money. You can start investing with your
company employee retirement plan. And finally, you will
have to shed some old baggage about investing, for example,
“I will start investing when I get my bills paid off,” or “I am
afraid to invest.” The main questions being, how do you shed
this baggage and allay all fears?

1. The first most common reason the poll respondents don’t start investing is because they think it is too expensive. They feel a lot of money is needed to start investing in stocks or mutual funds.

There are mutual fund companies that will allow you to start
an investment account for as little as one hundred dollars,
and add as little as twenty-five dollars a month. You can
do a search for mutual funds in any internet search engine
or research them in your local library. There are many companies
that will allow you to invest in a few shares or partial shares
of stock, starting with as little as eight dollars a month, and
adding eight dollars a month to your account to purchase additional shares or partial shares. Using your company retirement account is another way to invest with ease. In most cases, you will have the option to pick among investments already chosen by your company. The money is taken out of your check, so you don’t miss the funds and you receive tax advantages.

2. The second most common reason the respondents gave is that they are told to pay off bills before they start to invest.

It is a good idea to have your debt well under control
before you start to invest. The interest rates on
outstanding debts are sometimes in excess of the interest
rates on investments, coupled with compounded interest, debt
payments can be excessive. There is an easy way to invest
after you have your bills under control, that is to treat
your investment savings as “just another bill,” before you
know it, you will have a significant amount of money in your
savings account, you can invest.

3. Fear was the third most common reason the respondents don’t
invest. This fear can be easily conquered with education and
detailed information about investing.

Do you have plenty of money to invest, but you are simply
afraid? I think the term for that is, “fear of the unknown”.
That is probably the easiest investment stop addressed in
this article. The Internet has brought learning to our
fingertips, there are thousands of websites that teach
investing from a consumers perspective. Brokerage sites and
web portals provide research with detailed information about
stocks, mutual funds and other investments to protect your
interest and your money. If you are not Internet savvy, take
a trip to your local library, the librarian will show you how to use investment research catalogs such as Value Line reports for stocks research, and Morningstar Mutual Fund Reports for
Mutual Funds research. Doing your own research will teach
you how to choose low risk, low cost investments. Investment
research will also teach you how to analyze the investments
that your advisor chooses for you.

Author: Lois Center-Shabazz
Article Source: EzineArticles.com
Provided by: WordPress plugin Guest Blogger

Categories : investing
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